Saturday, February 03, 2007

Mark Holland and the Oil Sands

Here's a lesson in electoral politics:

The battle, in the election campaign that's now underway, is not for Alberta's seats. The Liberals can't win any of them. The Tories can't win any more of them.
It's not for the seats of rural BC. The Liberals can't win those, either.
It's not for seats in Saskatchewan and Manitoba. There aren't very many of them, and few will change hands in the next election.
Nor is it for rural Quebec. The Bloc Quebecois has a lock on those.
The seats in the Maritimes are unlikely to make a difference, either.
What's left?
Seats in urban Quebec.
Seats in Toronto, its suburbs and southwestern Ontario.
To the Liberals, these are the only seats that count.
People in those ridings do not work in the oil industry. They do drive cars.
They, for the moment, worry about the environment.
They support a centralized Canada and see Ottawa as their vehicle to govern the entire country.
They believe Albertans are making big money with very little risk and work. They think Westerners, in general, are whiners and outsiders. The large visible minority (in some ridings, majorities) in many of these ridings have an underlying suspicion that Albertans are white racists, a view that's been drummed into them by Liberals and the media.
Now, put Holland's comments in that context.
Make sense now?

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