If someone was doing a pool, I'd say about 7000 - 7500 for the Dow and the TSX. That may be generous.
That's taking the pre-1987 crash Dow of 1300, multiplying it by an inflation rate of about 4% compounded, with a little tossed in for national polulation growth and technology.
It might have been smarter to start with the 750 post-crash Dow and using the same process, but if the Dow went down to 3500 we'd all be eating dirt and living in cardboard boxes.
I see Harper is using the "Dion is too scary" ads to attack him for the economy. Tories, though, are the wrong people to elect at the beginning of a recession. Tory ideology prevents them from doing what needs to be done to get cash moving through the economy. A Harper government would make things worse, not better.